{"id":265192,"date":"2025-07-01T17:48:10","date_gmt":"2025-07-01T15:48:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/novanews.co.za\/vistanews\/?p=265192"},"modified":"2025-07-02T15:42:34","modified_gmt":"2025-07-02T13:42:34","slug":"study-over-14-million-people-could-die-from-us-foreign-aid-cuts","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/novanews.co.za\/vistanews\/study-over-14-million-people-could-die-from-us-foreign-aid-cuts\/","title":{"rendered":"Study: Over 14 million people could die from US foreign aid cuts"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

PARIS, FRANCE<\/strong> – More than 14 million of the world’s most vulnerable people, a third of them small children, could die by 2030 because of the Trump administration’s dismantling of US foreign aid<\/a>, research projected on Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The study in the prestigious medical journal The Lancet was published as world and business leaders met at a United Nations conference in Spain to try to bolster the reeling aid sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The US Agency for International Development (USAID) had provided over 40 percent of global humanitarian funding until Donald Trump returned to the White House in January.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Two weeks later, Trump’s then-close advisor – and the world’s richest man – Elon Musk boasted of having put the agency “through the woodchipper”.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The funding cuts “risk abruptly halting – and even reversing – two decades of progress in health among vulnerable populations”, warned study co-author Davide Rasella, a researcher at the Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“For many low- and middle-income countries, the resulting shock would be comparable in scale to a global pandemic or a major armed conflict,” he said in a statement.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Looking back over data from 133 nations, the international team of researchers estimated that USAID funding had prevented 91.8 million deaths in developing countries between 2001 and 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That is more than the estimated number of deaths during World War II – history’s deadliest conflict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"An
An international team of researchers estimated that USAID funding had prevented 91.8 million deaths in developing countries between 2001 and 2021.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Children already dying <\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The researchers also used modelling to project how funding being slashed by 83 percent – the figure announced by the US government earlier this year – could affect death rates.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The cuts could lead to more than 14 million avoidable deaths by 2030, the projections found.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That number included over 4.5 million children under the age of five – or around 700 000 child deaths a year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For comparison, around 10 million soldiers are estimated to have been killed during World War I.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

USAID funding was found to be particularly effective at staving off preventable deaths from disease.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

There were 65 percent fewer deaths from HIV\/AIDS in countries receiving a high level of support compared to those with little or no USAID funding, the study found.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Deaths from malaria and neglected tropical diseases were similarly cut in half.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In South Sudan, people are already dying as a result of the US cuts, said Denish Ogen Rwot of the NGO Action Against Hunger, which has slashed its staffing in the country from 300 to 86.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Already we are having children die,” he told AFP.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A recently updated tracker run by disease modeller Brooke Nichols at Boston University estimates that nearly 108 000 adults and more than 224 000 children have already died as a result of the US aid cuts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That works out to 88 deaths every hour, according to the tracker.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

More deaths from Europe, UK cuts <\/h3>\n\n\n\n

After USAID was gutted, several other major donors, including France, Germany and the UK, followed suit in announcing plans to slash their foreign aid budgets.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

These aid reductions, particularly in the European Union, could lead to “even more additional deaths in the coming years,” study co-author Caterina Monti of ISGlobal said.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But the grim projections are based on the current amount of pledged aid, so could rapidly come down if the situation changes, the researchers emphasised.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dozens of world leaders — though no one from the United States — attended an aid conference in the Spanish city of Seville this week.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A common declaration was adopted reaffirming previous goals but it is not legally binding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

This year’s aid cuts spearheaded by the United States could also nearly double the number of people forced to flee their homes this year, the Danish Refugee Council warned Tuesday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Before its funding was slashed, USAID represented 0.3 percent of all US federal spending.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“US citizens contribute about 17 cents per day to USAID, around $64 per year,” said study co-author James Macinko of the University of California, Los Angeles.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

“I think most people would support continued USAID funding if they knew just how effective such a small contribution can be to saving millions of lives.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

PARIS, FRANCE – More than 14 million of the world’s most vulnerable people, a third of them small children, could die by 2030 because of the Trump administration’s dismantling of 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